Section outline
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The module introduces probabilistic and causal models. We will refresh useful knowledge from probability and statistics, and introduce fundamental concepts for working with probabilistic models, including conditional independence, d-separation, and causality. We will discuss the graphical models formalism to represent probabilistic relationships in directed/undirected models.
Date Topic References 2 19/02/2026
(11-13)Probability and statistics refresher
basic concepts of probability and statistics; random variables and probability distributions; Bayes rule, marginalization, family of distributions and their properties; inference in probabilistic models3 24/02/2026
(11-13)Graphical models: representation
Bayesian networks; representing joint distributions; conditional independence;Lecture by Riccardo Massidda
4 25/02/2026
(16-18)Graphical models: Markov properties
d-separation; Markov properties; faithfulness; Markov modelsLecture by Riccardo Massidda
5 26/02/2026
(11-13)Graphical Causal Models
causation and correlation; causal Bayesian networks; structural causal models; causal Inference
Lecture by Riccardo Massidda