Section outline
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The module introduces probabilistic and causal models. We will refresh useful knowledge from probability and statistics, and introduce fundamental concepts for working with probabilistic models, including conditional independence, d-separation, and causality. We will discuss the graphical models formalism to represent probabilistic relationships in directed/undirected models.
Date Topic References Additional Material 2 20/02/2026
(16-18)ROOM E
Introduction to probabilistic learning & models
module overview; basic concepts of probability and statistics; random variables and probability distributions; Bayes rule, marginalization, family of distributions and their properties; inference in probabilistic models.
RECOVERY LECTURE FOR 18/02/2026
[BRML] Ch. 1
[DL] Appendix C1.1-C3.3
3 24/02/2026
(11-13)Graphical models: representation
Bayesian networks; representing joint distributions; conditional independence;Lecture by Riccardo Massidda
[BRML] Sect. 3.1, 3.2 and 3.3.1 (conditional independence) 4 25/02/2026
(16-18)Graphical models: Markov properties
d-separation; Markov properties; faithfulness; Markov modelsLecture by Riccardo Massidda
[BRML] Sect. 3.3 (conditional independence, d-separation)
[BRML] Sect. 4.1, 4.2.0-4.2.2 (Undirected Models and Markov Properties)
[BRML] Sect. 4.5 (Expressiveness)5 26/02/2026
(11-13)Graphical Causal Models
causation and correlation; causal Bayesian networks; structural causal models; causal Inference
Lecture by Riccardo Massidda
6 03/03/2026
(11-13)Structure Learning and Causal Discovery
constraint-based methods; score-based methods; parametric assumptions
Lecture by Riccardo Massidda